Two Political Worlds?: the influence of provincial party loyalty on federal voting in Canada

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  2. Dr Emily Clough
Author(s)Clough E
Publication type Article
JournalElectoral Studies
ISSN (print)0261-3794
ISSN (electronic)1873-6890
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Scholars have known for years that many Canadian voters hold different partisan loyalties at the federal and provincial level. In this paper, I address the question of whether provincial party loyalty has an effect on federal level vote choice above and beyond the effects of federal level party loyalty. I also examine whether provincial party loyalty is enough to explain the persistence of the ‘two-party-plus’ system in Canada. In order to address these questions I construct a series of multinomial logit models of federal vote choice in the 1993 and 2000 Canadian elections. I conclude that provincial party loyalty does have an effect on federal level vote choice, but that this influence is not enough to explain the persistence of the ‘two-party-plus’ system.
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