Bayes linear kinematics in the analysis of failure rates and failure time distributions
- Lookup NU author(s)
- Kevin Wilson
- Dr Malcolm Farrow
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| Author(s) | | Wilson KJ, Farrow M |
| Publication type | | Article |
| Journal | | Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability |
| Year | | 2010 |
| Volume | | 224 |
| Issue | | 4 |
| Pages | | 309-321 |
| ISSN (print) | | 1748-006X |
| ISSN (electronic) | | 1748-0078 |
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| Full text for this publication is not currently held within this repository. Alternative links are provided below where available. |
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| Collections of related Poisson or binomial counts arise, for example, from numbers of failures insimilar machines or neighbouring time periods. A conventional Bayesian analysis requires a ratherindirect prior specification and intensive numerical methods for posterior evaluations.An alternative approach using Bayes linear kinematics in which simple conjugate specifications for individual counts are linked through a Bayes linear belief structure is presented. Intensive numerical methods are not required. The use of transformations of the binomial and Poisson parameters is proposed. The approach is illustrated in two examples, one involving a Poisson count of failures, the other involving a binomial count in an analysis of failuretimes. |
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| Publisher | | Sage Publications |
| URL | | http://dx.doi.org/10.1243/1748006XJRR293 |
| DOI | | 10.1243/1748006XJRR293 |
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