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Lookup NU author(s): Dr Philip Dawson, Dr John Lingard
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An unstable and erratic macroeconomy in an economy in transition might be expected to affect agricultural performance. This is tested for Bulgaria between 1992 and 1997 using impulse response functions from a vector autoregressive (VAR) model. Despite data limitations, it is found that shocks to the foreign exchange rate and interest rate feed into farm prices and agricultural exports but equilibrium will be re-established within 5 years. Agricultural policies may not be sufficient to counteract the wider macroeconomic forces.
Author(s): Ivanova N, Dawson P, Lingard J
Publication type: Article
Publication status: Published
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2003
Volume: 35
Issue: 7
Pages: 817-823
Print publication date: 01/01/2003
ISSN (print): 0003-6846
ISSN (electronic): 1466-4283
Publisher: Routledge
URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/0003684032000050595
DOI: 10.1080/0003684032000050595
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