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Modeling the dynamics of inflation compensation

Lookup NU author(s): Dr Markus Jochmann

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Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between short-term and long-term inflation expectations using daily data on inflation compensation derived from the term structure of real and nominal interest rates. We use a flexible econometric model which allows us to uncover this relationship in a data-based manner. We relate our findings to the issue of whether inflation expectations are anchored, unmoored or contained. Our empirical results indicate no support for either unmoored or firmly anchored inflation expectations. Most evidence indicates that inflation expectations are contained.


Publication metadata

Author(s): Jochmann M, Koop G, Potter S

Publication type: Article

Publication status: Published

Journal: Journal of Empirical Finance

Year: 2010

Volume: 17

Issue: 1

Pages: 157-167

ISSN (print): 0927-5398

Publisher: Elsevier BV

URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jempfin.2009.08.002

DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2009.08.002


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