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Simulating impacts of extreme weather events on urban transport infrastructure in the UK

Lookup NU author(s): Alistair Ford, Professor Richard Dawson, Dr Maria Pregnolato, Professor Stuart Barr, Professor Jim Hall

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Abstract

Urban areas face many risks from future climate change and their infrastructure will be placed under more pressure due to changes in climate extremes. Using the Tyndall Centre Urban Integrated Assessment Framework, this paper describes a methodology used to assess the impacts of future climate extremes on transport infrastructure in London. Utilising high-resolution projections for future climate in the UK, alongside stochastic weather generators for downscaling, urban temperature and flooding models are used to provide information on the likelihood of future extremes. These are then coupled with spatial network models of urban transport infrastructure and, using thresholds to define the point at which systems cease to function normally, disruption to the networks can be simulated. Results are shown for both extreme heat and urban surface water flooding events and the impacts on the travelling population, in terms of both disruption time and monetary cost. Normal 0 false false false EN-GB ZH-CN X-NONE


Publication metadata

Author(s): Ford A, Jenkins K, Dawson R, Pregnolato M, Barr S, Hall J

Publication type: Conference Proceedings (inc. Abstract)

Publication status: Published

Conference Name: ISNGI 2014

Year of Conference: 2014

Acceptance date: 11/07/2014


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