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Lookup NU author(s): Dr Neil Thorpe
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In September of 2000 the UK experienced a blockade of oil refineries in response to rising fuel prices. These protests resulted in severe fuel supply disruptions that intensified over the course of about one week. During the peak of the crisis, travel activity by car was curtailed. This paper analyzes survey data collected about two months after the crisis utilizing the recent memory of respondents as to how they would expect this sort of disruption to affect their participation in daily activities. Specifically, we focused on a variety of non-discretionary and discretionary activities and examined what factors are associated with respondents expecting disruption to those activities. Statistical models were developed to analyze how demographic factors, commute mode selection, vehicle characteristics, and various other factors can explain how individuals expect disruption to their activities. Results suggest that the majority of individuals do not expect major disruptions, although for more car-dependent individuals, disruption was expected to be substantial, especially for work-related trips. These results have implications for the potential success and benefits of an integrated transport policy.
Author(s): Noland RB, Polak JW, Bell MGH, Thorpe N
Publication type: Article
Publication status: Published
Journal: Transportation
Year: 2003
Volume: 30
Issue: 4
Pages: 459-481
Print publication date: 01/11/2003
ISSN (print): 0049-4488
ISSN (electronic): 1572-9435
Publisher: Springer New York LLC
URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1024790101698
DOI: 10.1023/A:1024790101698
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