Lookup NU author(s): Dr Mark Shirley,
Professor Stephen Rushton
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This paper uses a graph-theoretical approach to investigate the properties of the observed network of disease transmission in the 2001 foot-and-mouth epidemic in the United Kingdom. This analysis revealed both global and local heterogeneity in the contact pattern between the infected premises in the first 3 weeks of the disease. In particular, the global heterogeneity contributed to the failure of the culling strategy imposed by the UK government. However, a more effective strategy targeting selective deletion of key premises in the network was not available once the epidemic had begun. We recommend that post-hoc analyses of this sort should become part of preventative and proactive policy rather than part of a reaction to an ongoing crisis. © 2005 Cambridge University Press.
Author(s): Shirley MDF, Rushton SP
Publication type: Article
Publication status: Published
Journal: Epidemiology and Infection
Print publication date: 01/12/2005
ISSN (print): 0950-2688
ISSN (electronic): 1469-4409
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
PubMed id: 16274498
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