Lookup NU author(s): Professor Jim Hall,
Professor Richard Dawson,
Dr Mike Walkden
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Civil engineering infrastructure systems are vulnerable to the effects of natural hazards such as flooding, landslides, windstorm and coastal erosion. Risk analysis provides a rational approach to analysing the threat these phenomena pose and identifying efficient options for system management.This paper presents a general formulation of the risk-analysis problem for an engineering system subject to environmental loads. However, most of the variables that determine system behaviour may be subject to long-term change, for example due to climate change or structural deterioration.The uncertainties in appraisal of infrastructure over extended timescales can be considerable, so a framework is presented for systematic analysis of uncertainties and robust decision making.
Author(s): Hall JW, Dawson RJ, Manning LJ, Walkden M, Dickson M, Sayers P
Publication type: Article
Publication status: Published
Journal: Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers: Civil Engineering
ISSN (print): 0965-089X
ISSN (electronic): 1751-7672
Publisher: Thomas Telford Ltd.
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